Two sides.
One honest price.
Pick any real question — a match, an election, a coin, the weekend weather. Back Yes or No, and the two sides meet at one honest price that moves as the world changes its mind. majjha stands in the middle.
An early look at what we're building · every price and figure here is illustrative · majjha is pre-launchTrending Markets
View allPredict what you actually care about.
From the match tonight to the album drop, the next rate cut to whatever everyone's arguing about — if the world is asking it, there's a market for it. Including the ones nobody else lists.
Always a price.
Always a side.
Walk into any market — brand-new or busy — and there's a live price waiting and a side to take. majjha holds the middle so you can always trade, from minute one. No empty rooms, no waiting for someone to show up. Changed your mind mid-event? One tap locks your win.
Back what you believe.
The right side collects.
Buy Yes or No for cents. When the answer is known, the market settles in the open and the winning side gets paid — fast, fair, final. You can read the whole story like a receipt.
Join the middle.
Be in before the doors open — early access goes to the waitlist first.
🎉 You're in. We'll write when the doors open — launch news only, no spam.
free to join · no spam, everWhat the record shows.
Are prediction markets accurate? What the record actually shows
Decades of published research on prediction-market accuracy — where markets beat polls and experts, where they don't, and what a calibrated price even means.
Can prediction markets be manipulated? What the experiments show
Researchers have pushed prediction-market prices on purpose for 25 years — in labs, in the field, at scale. What the published record actually found.
How to judge a prediction-market venue
Fair, liquid, transparent: the category's standard claims. Six questions turn each one into a document you can go and find — before your funds move.
Where prediction markets fail: thin books, longshot bias, and the edge of the evidence
The failure half of the prediction-market record — longshot bias, thin books, long horizons — and where the published evidence itself runs out.
The evidence index: prediction-market accuracy studies, 1988 to now
A maintained index of the published research on prediction-market accuracy — sample, result and publication status per study, verified at source.
The probability layer: when a price becomes data
Exchange groups keep discovering that their data outlives their volume. What a settled probability is worth — and what a clean archive requires.